If you look on the price through here, on a weekly chart of just closes — not the highs and lows — you can fall all the way back and challenge, at some point, this 18-week moving average of closes, which is sitting at $3197. The market for the week is down one percent. The market is not caved in. It is not a crash, that's not what I'm saying, and don't you read those words in it. It's that at $3500 it was too expensive, and now it's coming down, and the market's got to search for where that right number is. So here you are down $34 for the week.
The swing line turned up — you now have higher lows, higher highs.
So the resistance, if you continue up without taking this down, is back at the $3376 level, and I don't see anything right on the horizon to carry the market all the way to those highs. If you take out this low, in terms of moving averages, you've got support on the 100-day moving average at $3196 and a half, but the Bollinger Band is down around $3309. So that would be the number that I would think the market would want to go to.
June 27, 2025