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Commentaries

The Art of Prediction, the Folly of Certainty, and the Case for Gold

This week I found myself...submitting forecasts for the Reuters Precious Metals Survey. It’s a peculiar exercise, this act of prediction, especially in the world of gold.

Inflationary Confusion

Today we’ll draw on some of my best sources to survey the inflation trends. As you’ll see, the direction isn’t as clear as either hawks or doves think.

Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’: Defense Dollars, Debt, and the Real Cost of Spending Sprees

Forget about trillion-dollar deficits. That’s far in the rear-view window. We’re looking at three, four, and five trillion-dollar deficits.

2,200 Year Old Money Discovered in Czech Republic

Gold and silver ultimately became money simply because people wanted to use them as such. No government mandate was necessary. The metals spontaneously evolved as money...

Morgan Stanley Expects Further Euro Gains — A Tailwind for Gold?

Gold has been treading water in recent months, consolidating between $3,200 and $3,500 — a typical summer pattern as news flow and trading volume slow with traders on vacation.

Central Banks Buying More Domestically Produced Gold

Central banks have increased their gold holdings by over 1,000 tonnes for three straight years.

Bullion Stackers are the Ultimate Savers

Precious metal stackers are in a league of their own. They’re the most farsighted, knowledgeable, and patient savers.

Price Inflation Heating Up Based on June CPI

While the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy enough to rein in rising prices, it never did enough to slay the inflation dragon.

How Trump’s 50% Copper Tariff Will Affect the US and the World

The 50% copper tariff will roil the copper market and not in a good way.

Feel the Heat: The Inflation Monster Returned Like the First Heat Wave of Summer

Expect a monster heat wave of inflation to start building through the end of summer, growing relentlessly worse all through the fall.

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