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Commentaries

US Federal Reserve Sticks To The Script But For How Long?

This long overdue structural reset is one reason that we think inflation could run higher than pre-covid levels for some years to come. But the Fed is limited in its options..

The Tardy Fed and the New Macro

There must be consequences to something as important (to a Keynesian monetary system) as gross distortions born of excess and previously free license to inflate the system at every deflationary turn.

GOLD: ‘The Question Is Not Have You Too Much, but Have You Enough.’

At the moment, cash is king, but that might be short-lived. Merryn Somerset Webb thinks cash holdings, which CNBC reports at near-record levels, might be another ..

The Busy Week Ahead

While there will be all sorts of economic and geopolitical headlines in the days ahead, two events that will drive precious metals stand out.

After Sharp Rise in November, BIS Gold Swaps Ended the Year at Zero

The reduction in swaps more recently has been linked to the requirements of Basel III for more capital to be held in support of these transactions. 

Ready for Your Dollars to Be Canceled?

With the ongoing financial turmoil and the potential start of another world war, gold is behaving as we would expect, showing exceptional strength.

Orderly Markets vs. Chaos

Inflation and intervention in the markets by government and the Federal Reserve have led us to a continual state of volatility and vulnerability...

Gold Sentiment: Room for More Bulls

Corrections in Gold tend to be limited to 8% to 10% at the most while corrections in the gold miners tend to be limited to 15%. The exception is when you get a vertical recovery, like..

Growth Pains

I expect a real recession soon. It will be different and probably less painful than the Great Recession, but still hurt.

China and the US at Sovereign Debt War

China, for much the same reason, is buying physical gold from other countries and also from gold miners within its jurisdiction. In fact, China recently announced they have record holdings of gold.

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