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Commentaries

It’s Not Often I Get to Proclaim “THE FED IS DEAD” Then Watch the Fed Put on the Toe Tag!

Be vigilant for inflation because big shifts into money’s most liquid form can create huge inflation IF we wind up with too much money in the hands of actual consumers or business operating accounts chasing too few goods. The cash is there, but where is there? I’m still looking for it.

Stock Market Party

To buy now, you must either convince yourself this is wrong, or find some reason to argue “it’s different this time.” That is rarely the case. To see why, we are going to look at some of the above data in detail, starting with some charts from Dave Rosenberg’s magnificent monthly chartbook.

Fed Recommits to Misleading the Public About Inflation

Did the Federal Reserve just usher in the next phase of the U.S. dollar’s decline?

Wrong Measurement, Wrong Macro Call

We have written much on the topic of economic measurement. Does the dollar measure gold, is it appropriate to say that “gold went up”? Or does gold measure the dollar?

Danger Ahead as Markets Detach from Fundamentals

The M1 money supply quadrupled over the past decade. That freshly printed money was gifted to the banks and the Treasury Department to keep stock and bond valuations elevated.

This Time the Shoeshine Boy Is a Player

And yet, when DASH’s shares began to trade last Wednesday, they achieved an 85% mark-up above their IPO price instantly, equating to a market cap of $72 billion. Again, not bad for a company that doesn’t have a prayer of turning a profit in the foreseeable future.

Survival of the Biggest

In its purest form, capitalism is an evolutionary process. Businesses that best adapt to changing conditions survive and grow. Typically, that means offering a product or service superior to current ones, or giving consumers more choices. Weaker or poorly managed businesses that don’t adapt to the new situation wither and eventually die.

Markets Rallying on Hope, but Higher Taxes and Inflation Loom

For months, including this past week, markets have rallied on hopes for a vaccine and more stimulus – even as the real economy is suffering under expanding virus restrictions and as a stimulus deal keeps getting thwarted by partisans in Washington.

Shocking Increase In U.S. Money Supply In Past Two Weeks

Something must be seriously wrong behind the scenes at the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve for the M1 Money Supply to increase more in the past two weeks than it did in six weeks during the beginning of the pandemic shutdowns in late March.

Beat the Coming ‘Taxflation’ Tsunami with Precious Metals

Nobody knows what 2021 will bring. But new political risks are likely to emerge – including the threats of higher taxes and a more punitive IRS.

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