So it’s still a dangerous time. There is also the risk of a hyperinflationary economic collapse. That would be the worst of all worlds. Gold would preserve your purchasing power during a runaway inflation. That's been seen time and again throughout history.
Elliot wave counts, gold target: $3,101.20
Active Positions: Long gold, with puts as our stops!Active Positions: Long gold, with puts as our stops!
And if you’re superstitious and believe in curses, there is this headline from the latest edition of Barron’s: “Stocks Could Gain Another 20% in 2025. Embrace the Bubble”. Contrary indicators don’t get better than that.
Two indicators I consider primary to macro boom/bust signaling are forecasting an oncoming bust and market liquidity contraction, respectively. These indicators are not necessarily good timers, but they are conditions that will likely be in effect when the next economic bust and market liquidity problems manifest.
With spot gold hovering near record highs around $2,700 per ounce, conditions appear favorable for a broader gold equity rally in 2025. BMO expects investors to remain selective in the first half of the year, waiting for more clarity on cost management and capital allocation strategies.
When comparing intraday highs, the latest gold price peak of $2785 is far cheaper than its 1980 ($3407) inflation-adjusted price.
Technical stock chart updates.
Gold on the weekly chart is fighting a big battle at the 18 week moving average, this is going on for almost 2-months now. Bulls believe Trump's tariffs will bring in more inflation while bears believe we already had our rally.